>>9540
I suppose I didn't give my full assessment on Trump's strike. This is Trump's idea of a "compromise" solution. Trump doesn't want to go to war with Iran atm but he also doesn't want to do nothing so striking the nuclear facilities and leaving it at that while talking a big game (this is why the US is repeatedly claiming that this isn't war or regime change) is his idea of walking the middle path. In reality, Trump is just escalating shit in Israel's direction and Iran negotiating with Trump is fucking useless because he's torn up deals and promises with Iran before (and indeed Iran was negotiating with the US when Israel suddenly attacked, killing the head of their negotiating team, and the US started backing up Israel), not to mention his bullshit "two weeks" crap, so his word absolutely cannot be trusted and making a deal with him is fucking meaningless especially when he is calling for surrender of all fucking things.
The real questions are how the broader international community will react and whether the war will continue to grind Israel into a losing position since Israel's anti-air defenses and military systems are visibly degrading under the Iranian barrage (Iran is also suffering, obviously, but so far they are getting increasingly better at overcoming Israeli defenses and rebuilding their own, and ultimately once Israel is weak enough, well, no in the middle east likes Israel, so probably other countries will decide to get involved and neutralize Israel while they can), but Israel will call for Trump to bail them out again really.
The major shift I anticipate is that Saudi Arabia's appetite for war with Iran will have significantly dimmed at this point, because Iran has demonstrated its ability to overcome the most advanced missile defense systems in the world and Saudi Arabia isn't interested in starting a war that it might win but at the cost of all of its oil fields and much of its military bases going up in flames (the kind of victory that ruins you even if you won, ie. a Pyrrhic victory), so Saudi Arabia will be strategically shifting its position to be more anti-Israel than anti-Iran.