>>16965
Fun fact: Bahrain used to be an Iran territory until a referendum for independence. Its population is also majority Shia, like Iran is, but the government is Sunni and happens to be backed by Saudi Arabia even in the face of popular uprising. The government has also been antagonizing Iran something fierce. So they have reason to shit bricks about war.
>>16975
I mean Iran started the blockade and Trump had no better moves than blockade the blockade, so clearly this is mostly an outcome Iran prefers and sees as putting pressure on the other side, considering that Iran is super-heavily sanctioned and thus developed a more self-reliant economy and is now receiving support from Russia and China as well as humanitarian support from the region (when US bombs schools, hospitals, and universities, there's more room for that kind of support), so it's toughing out the situation fairly well. This blockade is seriously hurting the petrodollar and also doing damage to Europe. There's also collateral damage in Africa and SEA where the weaker powers in particular do not have as good means of weathering an oil shortage or severe price hike though.
Meanwhile, during the ceasefire, Iran has been building new drones and missiles, digging out and recovering existing stockpiles where the access tunnels got bombed, hardening its infrastructure, spreading out and improving upon their latest anti-air tech, and receiving military hardware from Russia and China. The US has also tried to buy time for repairs, deployment, and US munition replenishment but its production is too goddamn slow and European countries, never mind NATO, refuse to get involved even with the blockade putting the squeeze on Europe so the real question is where is Trump cannibalizing munitions from if he tries to attack again, which he is still holding out hope for. I think he was hoping the double blockade would pressure Europe more to come pitch in in the conflict but they are refusing to do it, so Trump is now facing rising pressure and a losing war.
Iran is expecting negotiations to fail and a resumption of hostilities.